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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bunyodkor v Sogdiana: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Milliy Stadium
1–1
FT
Bunyodkor 35%Draw 23%Sogdiana 43% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.70
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSogdiana to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Super League brings Bunyodkor against Sogdiana at Milliy Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bunyodkor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Bunyodkor, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pakhtakor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sogdiana, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lokomotiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sogdiana, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Bunyodkor.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Sogdiana 2–3 Bunyodkor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bunyodkor 1.5 xG, Sogdiana 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bunyodkor 35%, draw 23%, Sogdiana 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bunyodkor 1–1 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bunyodkor35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Sogdiana43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
3.22Expected goals
1.52Bunyodkor xG
1.70Sogdiana xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bunyodkor 1.5 – 1.7 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSogdiana to win ✗43%2.342.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.53
Draw no betSogdiana (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapBunyodkor +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreSogdiana to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Bunyodkor – last 6

LWLLLL
9 Oct@ Pakhtakor1–3L
19 Sepvs Buxoro2–1W
15 Sepvs Lokomotiv0–1L
9 Sep@ Nasaf0–3L
4 Sepvs Surkhon0–1L
26 Aug@ Lokomotiv1–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sogdiana – last 6

LLDWWL
11 Octvs Lokomotiv2–3L
20 Sepvs Olmaliq1–2L
10 Sep@ Xorazm0–0D
5 Sepvs Mash'al5–2W
30 Augvs Jayxun2–0W
23 Aug@ Neftchi0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Sogdiana v Bunyodkor2–3
Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana?

On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sogdiana 43%.

How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana?

Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 1–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana?

Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.