Surkhon vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Surkhon v Xorazm in the Super League, played at Stadion Surkhon. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Surkhon, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Qizilqum, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Xorazm, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Neftchi, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Surkhon, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Xorazm.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jul 2026) it ended Xorazm 1–0 Surkhon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 1.2 xG, Xorazm 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 45%, draw 23%, Xorazm 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 1–1 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Surkhon45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Xorazm32%fair 3.12 · @3.10
2.20Expected goals
1.23Surkhon xG
0.97Xorazm xG
56%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Surkhon 1.2 – 1.0 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Surkhon vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xorazm 32%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 1–1 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Xorazm?
Surkhon vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
