Dinamo Samarqand 61%Draw 22%Buxoro 17%Expected goals 2.01 – 0.95
83%
Betarazi pick
Dinamo Samarqand or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Dinamo Samarqand to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Samarqand to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceDinamo Samarqand or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Dinamo Samarqand v Buxoro in the Super League, played at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium. In the table, Dinamo Samarqand are 8th, upper half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Buxoro are 7th (upper half) with 42.
Current form
Dinamo Samarqand, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nasaf, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Buxoro, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Andijan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Buxoro 3–1 Dinamo Samarqand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Samarqand 2.0 xG, Buxoro 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Samarqand 61%, draw 22%, Buxoro 17%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Samarqand or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Samarqand to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Samarqand or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Samarqand 2–0 Buxoro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Samarqand61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Buxoro17%fair 5.98 · @3.75
2.96Expected goals
2.01Dinamo Samarqand xG
0.95Buxoro xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dinamo Samarqand 2.0 – 1.0 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
Our pick is Dinamo Samarqand or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Dinamo Samarqand have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buxoro 17%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Samarqand 2–0 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro?
Dinamo Samarqand vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.