Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pakhtakor travel to face Navbahor on Saturday 17 October in the Super League, with Markaziy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59.
Current form
Navbahor, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Olmaliq, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Pakhtakor, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Qadisiyah FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Pakhtakor 0–2 Navbahor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.4 xG, Pakhtakor 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 39%, draw 23%, Pakhtakor 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–1 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navbahor39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Pakhtakor38%fair 2.64 · @2.60
2.76Expected goals
1.39Navbahor xG
1.37Pakhtakor xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.4 – 1.4 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pakhtakor 38%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
Navbahor vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
