Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pakhtakor welcome Neftchi to Pakhtakor Central Stadium for a Super League fixture on Friday 23 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Neftchi are 1st (leading the league) with 61. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Navbahor, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Neftchi, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Lokomotiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Neftchi 1–0 Pakhtakor. The last 3 head-to-heads: Pakhtakor 1 win, Neftchi 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 1.6 xG, Neftchi 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 45%, draw 23%, Neftchi 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 1–1 Neftchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Neftchi32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
2.96Expected goals
1.62Pakhtakor xG
1.34Neftchi xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.6 – 1.3 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Neftchi 32%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–1 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
Pakhtakor vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
