Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSogdiana to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceSogdiana or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Sogdiana vs Buxoro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Sogdiana v Buxoro in the Super League, played at Sogdiana Sport Complex. In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Buxoro are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sogdiana, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nasaf, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Buxoro, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Surkhon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Buxoro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Sogdiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 2.2 xG, Buxoro 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 63%, draw 23%, Buxoro 14%.
Lower-risk option: Sogdiana or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sogdiana to win (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 2–0 Buxoro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogdiana63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.60
Buxoro14%fair 7.05 · @4.33
3.20Expected goals
2.21Sogdiana xG
0.99Buxoro xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 2.2 – 1.0 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogdiana to win✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Sogdiana or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Sogdiana (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Sogdiana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Sogdiana to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sogdiana ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Sogdiana – last 6
LLDLLD
24 Oct
@ Nasaf
1–2
L
20 Oct
vs Andijan
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Bunyodkor
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Olmaliq
1–2
L
10 Sep
@ Xorazm
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Buxoro – last 6
DWWLLL
23 Oct
vs Surkhon
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Andijan
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Navbahor
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Qizilqum
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Buxoro.
Our pick is Sogdiana to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxoro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 2–0 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
Sogdiana vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
