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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xorazm v Pakhtakor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Xorazm Stadium

Xorazm

LDDLL
0–1
FT
Xorazm 17%Draw 23%Pakhtakor 59% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.72
59%
Betarazi pick

Pakhtakor to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPakhtakor to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.21

Xorazm vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Xorazm v Pakhtakor in the Super League, played at Xorazm Stadium. In the table, Xorazm are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 27 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Xorazm, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Navbahor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Pakhtakor, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Xorazm.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Pakhtakor 2–1 Xorazm.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xorazm 0.8 xG, Pakhtakor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xorazm 17%, draw 23%, Pakhtakor 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pakhtakor or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xorazm 0–1 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xorazm17%fair 5.85 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Pakhtakor59%fair 1.68 · @1.57
2.52Expected goals
0.80Xorazm xG
1.72Pakhtakor xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Xorazm 0.8 – 1.7 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPakhtakor to win ✓59%1.681.57
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓83%1.211.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.85
Draw no betPakhtakor (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapXorazm +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scorePakhtakor to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14%7.21–

Recent results

Xorazm – last 6

LDDLLD
26 Octvs Navbahor1–2L
16 Oct@ Surkhon0–0D
7 Oct@ Neftchi2–2D
21 Sepvs Qizilqum1–3L
16 Sep@ Olmaliq1–2L
10 Sepvs Sogdiana0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pakhtakor – last 6

LLDDWW
26 Oct@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–1L
23 Octvs Neftchi1–3L
17 Oct@ Navbahor1–1D
12 Octvs Al-Qadisiyah FC1–1D
9 Octvs Bunyodkor3–1W
19 Sep@ Mash'al2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jul 2026Pakhtakor v Xorazm2–1
Xorazm vs Pakhtakor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?

Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?

On our numbers Xorazm have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pakhtakor 59%.

How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?

Our predicted score is Xorazm 0–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?

Xorazm vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.