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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Buxoro v Nasaf: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Buxoro FA Stadioni

Buxoro

DDWWL
0–1
FT

Nasaf

WDLWD
Buxoro 29%Draw 22%Nasaf 49% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.49
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultNasaf to win ✓49% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Buxoro vs Nasaf: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nasaf travel to face Buxoro on Sunday 8 November in the Super League, with Buxoro FA Stadioni the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Buxoro are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 27 matches; Nasaf are 4th (among the top four) with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Buxoro, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sogdiana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Nasaf, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Kuwait, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Nasaf 1–1 Buxoro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buxoro 1.1 xG, Nasaf 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Buxoro 29%, draw 22%, Nasaf 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxoro 1–1 Nasaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buxoro29%fair 3.46 · @3.24
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.24
Nasaf49%fair 2.02 · @1.98
2.54Expected goals
1.05Buxoro xG
1.49Nasaf xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Buxoro 1.1 – 1.5 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNasaf to win ✓49%2.021.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.78
Draw no betNasaf (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapBuxoro +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.04
First team to scoreNasaf to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nasaf / FT Nasaf ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Buxoro – last 6

DDWWLL
30 Oct@ Sogdiana1–1D
23 Octvs Surkhon0–0D
17 Oct@ Dinamo Samarqand2–1W
9 Octvs Andijan3–2W
19 Sep@ Bunyodkor1–2L
11 Sepvs Navbahor1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nasaf – last 6

WDLWDL
4 Nov@ Al Kuwait3–2W
31 Oct@ Surkhon1–1D
28 Octvs Al Kuwait0–1L
24 Octvs Sogdiana2–1W
17 Oct@ Lokomotiv0–0D
14 Octvs Al Wahda FC1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Nasaf v Buxoro1–1
Buxoro vs Nasaf head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buxoro vs Nasaf?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Buxoro vs Nasaf?

On our numbers Buxoro have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nasaf 49%.

How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Nasaf?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Nasaf?

Our predicted score is Buxoro 1–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Buxoro vs Nasaf?

Buxoro vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.