Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✓64% · @1.49
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Neftchi vs Olmaliq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Super League brings Neftchi against Olmaliq at Istiqlol Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Olmaliq are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tractor Sazi, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Olmaliq, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Olmaliq, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Neftchi.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Olmaliq 0–0 Neftchi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 2.2 xG, Olmaliq 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 64%, draw 22%, Olmaliq 14%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.54.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (64%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 2–0 Olmaliq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi64%fair 1.55 · @1.49
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.10
Olmaliq14%fair 7.26 · @4.85
3.09Expected goals
2.16Neftchi xG
0.93Olmaliq xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi 2.2 – 0.9 Olmaliq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olmaliq 14%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Olmaliq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
Neftchi vs Olmaliq (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
