Mash'al vs Surkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mash'al welcome Surkhon to Bahrom Vafoev Stadium for a Super League fixture on Saturday 7 November (12:15 WAT). In the table, Mash'al are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 27 matches; Surkhon are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mash'al, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dinamo Samarqand, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Surkhon, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nasaf, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Surkhon, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Mash'al.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Surkhon 2–1 Mash'al.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mash'al 0.6 xG, Surkhon 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mash'al 11%, draw 19%, Surkhon 70%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.03.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mash'al 0–1 Surkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mash'al11%fair 8.76 · @6.20
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.15
Surkhon70%fair 1.44 · @1.39
2.41Expected goals
0.56Mash'al xG
1.85Surkhon xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–215%
0–39%
1–19%
0–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Mash'al 0.6 – 1.8 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Mash'al vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Mash'al have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Surkhon 70%.
How many goals will there be in Mash'al vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mash'al vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Mash'al 0–1 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mash'al vs Surkhon?
Mash'al vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
