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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qizilqum v Navbahor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi
0–1
FT
Qizilqum 16%Draw 23%Navbahor 61% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.74
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Qizilqum vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the Super League brings Qizilqum against Navbahor at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Qizilqum are 9th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Qizilqum, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kokand-1912, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Navbahor, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Andijan, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Qizilqum.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Navbahor 1–1 Qizilqum.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qizilqum 0.7 xG, Navbahor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qizilqum 16%, draw 23%, Navbahor 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.04.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.04 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qizilqum 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qizilqum16%fair 6.34 · @6.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.74
Navbahor61%fair 1.63 · @1.44
2.48Expected goals
0.74Qizilqum xG
1.74Navbahor xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Qizilqum 0.7 – 1.7 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNavbahor to win ✓61%1.631.44
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.04 ▲
Draw no betNavbahor (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapNavbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreNavbahor to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultNavbahor ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Qizilqum – last 6

DDWDWL
30 Oct@ Kokand-19120–0D
25 Octvs Lokomotiv1–1D
15 Oct@ Andijan1–0W
10 Octvs Surkhon0–0D
21 Sep@ Xorazm3–1W
10 Sep@ Dinamo Samarqand0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Navbahor – last 6

WWWDDW
31 Octvs Andijan1–0W
26 Oct@ Xorazm2–1W
21 Octvs Gazalkent3–1W
17 Octvs Pakhtakor1–1D
11 Oct@ Olmaliq2–2D
17 Sepvs Dinamo Samarqand3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Navbahor v Qizilqum1–1
Qizilqum vs Navbahor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qizilqum vs Navbahor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Qizilqum vs Navbahor?

On our numbers Qizilqum have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Navbahor 61%.

How many goals will there be in Qizilqum vs Navbahor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qizilqum vs Navbahor?

Our predicted score is Qizilqum 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Qizilqum vs Navbahor?

Qizilqum vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.