Jubilo Iwata v Omiya Ardija Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓43% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jubilo Iwata welcome Omiya Ardija to Yamaha Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 21 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, Jubilo Iwata are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Omiya Ardija are 5th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

Jubilo Iwata, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Omiya Ardija, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fujieda MYFC, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Omiya Ardija, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Jubilo Iwata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jubilo Iwata 1.3 xG, Omiya Ardija 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Jubilo Iwata 32%, draw 25%, Omiya Ardija 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Omiya Ardija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jubilo Iwata32%fair 3.12 · @2.95

Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40

Omiya Ardija43%fair 2.34 · @2.15

2.82Expected goals

1.30Jubilo Iwata xG

1.51Omiya Ardija xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.3 – 1.5 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Jubilo Iwata	Omiya Ardija
Attack vs J2 League average	-5%	+41%
Goals conceded vs average	-17%	-6%
Our expected goals here	1.24	1.41

Jubilo Iwata

Omiya Ardija

Attack vs J2 League average

-5%

+41%

Goals conceded vs average

-17%

-6%

Our expected goals here

1.24

1.41

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Omiya Ardija to win ✓	43%	2.34	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.65	1.53
Draw no bet	Omiya Ardija (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Jubilo Iwata +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.18	–
First team to score	Omiya Ardija to score first ✓	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✓	25%	4.00	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.20	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Omiya Ardija to win ✓

43%

2.34

2.15

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.34

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

60%

1.65

1.53

Draw no bet

Omiya Ardija (draw no bet) ✓

57%

1.75

–

Asian handicap

Jubilo Iwata +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

73%

1.36

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

1.22

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

55%

1.82

1.67

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

67%

1.50

1.45

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

84%

1.18

–

First team to score

Omiya Ardija to score first ✓

51%

1.98

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

41%

2.43

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✓

25%

4.00

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.20

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Omiya Ardija 43%.

How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

14 Mar	vs Consadole Sapporo	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Matsumoto Yamaga	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ FC Gifu	1–2	L

14 Mar	vs Fujieda MYFC	1–2	L
28 Feb	@ Parceiro Nagano	2–1	W
21 Feb	vs Fukushima United	6–0	W
14 Feb	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–2	W

Jubilo Iwata v Omiya Ardija: numbers & prediction

Jubilo Iwata

Omiya Ardija

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Jubilo Iwata – last 3

Omiya Ardija – last 4

Head to head

J2 League table

More J2 League predictions

Frequently asked questions