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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v FC Gifu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin

Matsumoto Yamaga

WWLWL
2–2
–Pens 5–4

FC Gifu

WLWW
Matsumoto Yamaga 42%Draw 25%FC Gifu 32% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.11
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00

Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Gifu travel to face Matsumoto Yamaga on Saturday 21 March in the J2 League, with Sunpro Alwin the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Parceiro Nagano, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

FC Gifu, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fukushima United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 xG, FC Gifu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 42%, draw 25%, FC Gifu 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 FC Gifu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
FC Gifu32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
2.58Expected goals
1.47Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.11FC Gifu xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 1.1 FC Gifu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Matsumoto YamagaFC Gifu
Attack vs J2 League average+5%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+10%
Our expected goals here1.611.02

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗42%2.362.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.70
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapFC Gifu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.00–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 5

WWLWL
14 Mar@ Parceiro Nagano5–0W
7 Marvs Consadole Sapporo3–0W
28 Feb@ Ventforet Kofu0–1L
21 Feb@ Jubilo Iwata2–1W
14 Feb@ Fujieda MYFC0–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

FC Gifu – last 4

WLWW
15 Marvs Fukushima United2–1W
8 Marvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
28 Feb@ Consadole Sapporo2–1W
15 Febvs Jubilo Iwata2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and FC Gifu.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Sagamihara2 Yokohama FC4 129%3.45X24%3.20246%2.00 1.3–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.36 ✓
FT Blaublitz Akita1 Vanraure Hachinohe0 148%2.25X27%3.10224%3.10 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Jubilo Iwata1 Omiya Ardija4 132%2.95X25%3.40243%2.15 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Ventforet Kofu0 148%2.15X24%3.20228%3.10 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Parceiro Nagano1 Iwaki3 120%5.40X24%3.80257%1.53 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
– Fukushima United3 Fujieda MYFC3 Pens 3–5 131%3.20X25%3.45245%2.00 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Oita Trinita2 FC Ryukyu3 158%1.67X25%3.45218%4.75 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki1 Roasso Kumamoto0 157%1.80X24%3.40218%3.70 1.8–0.9xG 1XTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw 82%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Gifu 32%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 FC Gifu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.