Montedio Yamagata v Tochigi City Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗41% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 29 March the J2 League brings Montedio Yamagata against Tochigi City at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Tochigi City are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vegalta Sendai, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tochigi City, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tochigi SC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.5 xG, Tochigi City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 41%, draw 28%, Tochigi City 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montedio Yamagata41%fair 2.44 · @2.40

Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.85

Tochigi City31%fair 3.24 · @3.00

2.64Expected goals

1.46Montedio Yamagata xG

1.18Tochigi City xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.5 – 1.2 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Montedio Yamagata	Tochigi City
Attack vs J2 League average	-27%	+1%
Goals conceded vs average	-13%	+37%
Our expected goals here	1.39	1.05

Montedio Yamagata

Tochigi City

Attack vs J2 League average

-27%

+1%

Goals conceded vs average

-13%

+37%

Our expected goals here

1.39

1.05

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.67
Draw no bet	Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Tochigi City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Montedio Yamagata to score first ✗	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	26%	3.89	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.14	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Montedio Yamagata to win ✗

41%

2.44

2.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

72%

1.39

1.33

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

58%

1.73

1.67

Draw no bet

Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet) ✗

57%

1.75

–

Asian handicap

Tochigi City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

73%

1.38

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

72%

1.38

1.33

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

52%

1.93

1.77

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

72%

1.38

1.30

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

87%

1.15

–

First team to score

Montedio Yamagata to score first ✗

51%

1.95

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

43%

2.35

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗

26%

3.89

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.14

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tochigi City 31%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

22 Mar	vs Vegalta Sendai	0–1	L
14 Mar	@ Shonan Bellmare	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Sagamihara	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ Tochigi SC	2–1	W

22 Mar	@ Tochigi SC	2–3	L
15 Mar	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Shonan Bellmare	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Yokohama FC	1–5	L
15 Feb	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L

Montedio Yamagata v Tochigi City: numbers & prediction