Fukushima United v Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓42% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face Fukushima United on Sunday 29 March in the J2 League, with Toho the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Fukushima United, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Gifu, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Parceiro Nagano, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Fukushima United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fukushima United 1.4 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fukushima United 33%, draw 25%, Matsumoto Yamaga 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fukushima United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fukushima United33%fair 3.06 · @2.85

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30

Matsumoto Yamaga42%fair 2.37 · @2.25

3.08Expected goals

1.42Fukushima United xG

1.66Matsumoto Yamaga xG

60%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–18%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.4 – 1.7 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Fukushima United	Matsumoto Yamaga
Attack vs J2 League average	+4%	+5%
Goals conceded vs average	+22%	-11%
Our expected goals here	1.29	1.54

Fukushima United

Matsumoto Yamaga

Attack vs J2 League average

+4%

+5%

Goals conceded vs average

+22%

-11%

Our expected goals here

1.29

1.54

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✓	42%	2.37	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.70
Draw no bet	Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Fukushima United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Matsumoto Yamaga to score first ✓	51%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓	26%	3.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.11	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✓

42%

2.37

2.25

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

60%

1.66

1.70

Draw no bet

Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✓

56%

1.77

–

Asian handicap

Fukushima United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

72%

1.40

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

1.28

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

54%

1.85

1.91

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

67%

1.49

1.30

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

–

First team to score

Matsumoto Yamaga to score first ✓

51%

1.94

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

39%

2.57

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓

26%

3.84

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.11

–

15 Mar	@ FC Gifu	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs Parceiro Nagano	4–2	W
21 Feb	@ Omiya Ardija	0–6	L
15 Feb	@ Iwaki	1–3	L

14 Mar	@ Parceiro Nagano	5–0	W
7 Mar	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–0	W
28 Feb	@ Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Jubilo Iwata	2–1	W
14 Feb	@ Fujieda MYFC	0–2	L

Fukushima United v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction