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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shonan Bellmare v Tochigi SC: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Lemon Gas Stadium

Shonan Bellmare

WWWWW
1–1
–Pens 5–5

Tochigi SC

WWLLW
Shonan Bellmare 55%Draw 26%Tochigi SC 19% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.96
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗55% · @1.62
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the J2 League brings Shonan Bellmare against Tochigi SC at Lemon Gas Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Shonan Bellmare, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yokohama FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tochigi SC, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Thespakusatsu Gunma, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tochigi SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.6 xG, Tochigi SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 55%, draw 26%, Tochigi SC 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Tochigi SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shonan Bellmare55%fair 1.81 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.55
Tochigi SC19%fair 5.20 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.64Shonan Bellmare xG
0.96Tochigi SC xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.6 – 1.0 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Shonan BellmareTochigi SC
Attack vs J2 League average-15%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-24%+5%
Our expected goals here1.240.84

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShonan Bellmare to win ✗55%1.811.62
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓81%1.241.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.83
Draw no betShonan Bellmare (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapTochigi SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreShonan Bellmare to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

WWWWWW
28 Mar@ Yokohama FC3–1W
20 Mar@ Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0W
14 Marvs Montedio Yamagata2–1W
28 Feb@ Tochigi City3–1W
21 Febvs Vanraure Hachinohe1–0W
14 Febvs Sagamihara4–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tochigi SC – last 6

WWLLWL
28 Mar@ Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1W
22 Marvs Tochigi City3–2W
15 Mar@ Blaublitz Akita0–2L
8 Mar@ Sagamihara0–4L
1 Marvs Yokohama FC4–0W
22 Febvs Vegalta Sendai1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shonan Bellmare and Tochigi SC.

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Yokohama FC1 Blaublitz Akita2 147%2.15X25%3.20228%3.10 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
– Vegalta Sendai2 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 Pens 8–7 166%1.40X20%4.10213%6.75 2.2–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
– Tochigi City0 Sagamihara0 Pens 4–2 146%1.85X24%3.35230%3.75 1.8–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✗
FT Jubilo Iwata1 Ventforet Kofu0 147%2.25X25%3.25228%2.85 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo0 Fukushima United2 160%1.53X23%4.00217%5.00 2.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija3 FC Gifu0 160%1.60X22%3.85218%4.75 2.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Fujieda MYFC0 Parceiro Nagano2 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.40 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
– Albirex Niigata0 Kanazawa0 Pens 4–1 151%1.85X26%3.35223%3.80 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tochigi SC 19%.

How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.