Tochigi City 46%Draw 24%Sagamihara 30%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.64
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Sagamihara to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTochigi City to win ✗46% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Tochigi City vs Sagamihara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the J2 League brings Tochigi City against Sagamihara at City Football Station. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Tochigi City, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Montedio Yamagata, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sagamihara, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Yokohama FC, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Sagamihara, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tochigi City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi City 1.8 xG, Sagamihara 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi City 46%, draw 24%, Sagamihara 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sagamihara to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi City 1–1 Sagamihara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi City46%fair 2.16 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.35
Sagamihara30%fair 3.33 · @3.75
3.40Expected goals
1.76Tochigi City xG
1.64Sagamihara xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Tochigi City 1.8 – 1.6 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tochigi City
Sagamihara
Attack vs J2 League average
+1%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.96
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi City to win✗
46%
2.16
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Draw no bet
Tochigi City (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Sagamihara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Tochigi City to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi City / FT Tochigi City✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Tochigi City – last 6
WLWLLL
29 Mar
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tochigi SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Yokohama FC
1–5
L
15 Feb
vs Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sagamihara – last 6
LLWWWL
21 Mar
vs Yokohama FC
2–4
L
14 Mar
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Tochigi SC
4–0
W
4 Mar
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–0
W
1 Mar
vs Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi City and Sagamihara.
What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?
On our numbers Tochigi City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sagamihara 30%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?
Our predicted score is Tochigi City 1–1 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?
Tochigi City vs Sagamihara (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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