Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.78
Osaka vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 April the J2 League brings Osaka against Kataller Toyama at Hanazono Rugby Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Osaka, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tokushima Vortis, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Nara Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.5 for Osaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osaka 1.1 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osaka 29%, draw 27%, Kataller Toyama 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osaka 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osaka29%fair 3.40 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Kataller Toyama44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.58Expected goals
1.06Osaka xG
1.52Kataller Toyama xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Osaka 1.1 – 1.5 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Osaka
Kataller Toyama
Attack vs J2 League average
-19%
+39%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-24%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.48
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kataller Toyama to win✓
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Kataller Toyama (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Osaka +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Kataller Toyama to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Osaka – last 4
LWWL
5 Apr
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Ehime FC
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Nara Club
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Imabari
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kataller Toyama – last 5
WWLWW
5 Apr
vs Nara Club
5–2
W
20 Mar
@ Albirex Niigata
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Kanazawa
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Tokushima Vortis
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
5–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osaka and Kataller Toyama.
What is the prediction for Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Osaka have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kataller Toyama 44%.
How many goals will there be in Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Osaka 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Osaka vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Renofa Yamaguchi2