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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oita Trinita v Renofa Yamaguchi: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Resonac Dome Oita
1–2
FT
Oita Trinita 40%Draw 28%Renofa Yamaguchi 32% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.07
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOita Trinita to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Oita Trinita v Renofa Yamaguchi in the J2 League, played at Resonac Dome Oita.

Current form

Oita Trinita, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sagan Tosu, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Oita Trinita.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Renofa Yamaguchi 3–1 Oita Trinita.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oita Trinita 1.3 xG, Renofa Yamaguchi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oita Trinita 40%, draw 28%, Renofa Yamaguchi 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oita Trinita 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oita Trinita40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Renofa Yamaguchi32%fair 3.12 · @2.88
2.36Expected goals
1.30Oita Trinita xG
1.07Renofa Yamaguchi xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.3 – 1.1 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Oita TrinitaRenofa Yamaguchi
Attack vs J2 League average-2%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+0%
Our expected goals here1.371.04

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOita Trinita to win ✗40%2.482.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.93 ▲
Draw no betOita Trinita (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapRenofa Yamaguchi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreOita Trinita to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Oita Trinita – last 6

WLLLLW
5 Apr@ Sagan Tosu1–0W
29 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–3L
21 Marvs FC Ryukyu2–3L
14 Mar@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1L
1 Mar@ Roasso Kumamoto1–3L
25 Febvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
29 Marvs Oita Trinita3–1W
22 Marvs Kitakyushu0–1L
7 Marvs Sagan Tosu2–0W
22 Feb@ Kagoshima United0–1L
15 Febvs Biwako Shiga2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Renofa Yamaguchi v Oita Trinita3–1
Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Renofa Yamaguchi 32%.

How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.