Kagoshima United v Gainare Tottori Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓58% · @1.55

Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓82% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 April the J2 League brings Kagoshima United against Gainare Tottori at Shiranami Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Kagoshima United, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Roasso Kumamoto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Gainare Tottori, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sagan Tosu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Gainare Tottori.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 1.6 xG, Gainare Tottori 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 58%, draw 24%, Gainare Tottori 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 1–0 Gainare Tottori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kagoshima United58%fair 1.73 · @1.55

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60

Gainare Tottori18%fair 5.55 · @5.60

2.43Expected goals

1.59Kagoshima United xG

0.84Gainare Tottori xG

53%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–112%

2–011%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.6 – 0.8 Gainare Tottori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Kagoshima United	Gainare Tottori
Attack vs J2 League average	+5%	+14%
Goals conceded vs average	-25%	+16%
Our expected goals here	1.69	1.02

Kagoshima United

Gainare Tottori

Attack vs J2 League average

+5%

+14%

Goals conceded vs average

-25%

+16%

Our expected goals here

1.69

1.02

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kagoshima United to win ✓	58%	1.73	1.55
Double chance	Kagoshima United or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Kagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Gainare Tottori +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Kagoshima United to score first	60%	1.67	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓	34%	2.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.69	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Kagoshima United to win ✓

58%

1.73

1.55

Double chance

Kagoshima United or draw ✓

82%

1.22

1.10

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

53%

1.88

2.00 ▲

Draw no bet

Kagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓

76%

1.31

–

Asian handicap

Gainare Tottori +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

60%

1.66

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

69%

1.44

1.35

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

55%

1.81

1.73

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

76%

1.32

1.25

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

90%

1.11

–

First team to score

Kagoshima United to score first

60%

1.67

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

44%

2.29

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓

34%

2.98

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10.69

–

29 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Biwako Shiga	1–0	W
28 Feb	@ Sagan Tosu	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs Renofa Yamaguchi	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs FC Ryukyu	3–1	W

29 Mar	vs Sagan Tosu	0–2	L
15 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Oita Trinita	0–2	L
15 Feb	@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1–3	L

Kagoshima United v Gainare Tottori: numbers & prediction