Shonan Bellmare 55%Draw 24%Tochigi City 22%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick
Shonan Bellmare or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗55% · @1.67
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shonan Bellmare welcome Tochigi City to Lemon Gas Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 2 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Tochigi City are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Tochigi City, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sagamihara, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tochigi City.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Tochigi City 1–3 Shonan Bellmare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.8 xG, Tochigi City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 55%, draw 24%, Tochigi City 22%.
Lower-risk option: Shonan Bellmare or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shonan Bellmare or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shonan Bellmare55%fair 1.83 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Tochigi City22%fair 4.60 · @4.00
2.80Expected goals
1.77Shonan Bellmare xG
1.02Tochigi City xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.8 – 1.0 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shonan Bellmare
Tochigi City
Attack vs J2 League average
-15%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+37%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.93
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Shonan Bellmare or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi City 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City?
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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