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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sagan Tosu v Tegevajaro Miyazaki: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

WWWLW
1–1
–Pens 4–5

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

WWWWW
Sagan Tosu 34%Draw 27%Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.27
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01

Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Sagan Tosu v Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League, played at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. In the table, Sagan Tosu are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Sagan Tosu, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Biwako Shiga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kitakyushu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–1 Sagan Tosu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.0 xG, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 34%, draw 27%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sagan Tosu34%fair 2.97 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.29Expected goals
1.02Sagan Tosu xG
1.27Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.0 – 1.3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sagan TosuTegevajaro Miyazaki
Attack vs J2 League average-13%+31%
Goals conceded vs average-16%-28%
Our expected goals here0.871.31

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✗39%2.552.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.95 ▲
Draw no betTegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapSagan Tosu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreTegevajaro Miyazaki to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.01–

Recent results

Sagan Tosu – last 6

WWWLWW
25 Aprvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
19 Apr@ Roasso Kumamoto2–0W
12 Apr@ Kitakyushu1–0W
5 Aprvs Oita Trinita0–1L
29 Mar@ Gainare Tottori2–0W
22 Mar@ Biwako Shiga2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6

WWWWWL
29 Aprvs Kitakyushu3–0W
25 Aprvs Kagoshima United1–0W
19 Apr@ Gainare Tottori1–0W
12 Apr@ Roasso Kumamoto5–0W
5 Aprvs Renofa Yamaguchi3–0W
29 Mar@ Biwako Shiga0–1L
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Sagan Tosu2–1
Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Yokohama FC3 Sagamihara3 Pens 159%1.60X21%3.60220%4.60 2.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.80 ✓
FT Shonan Bellmare1 Tochigi City2 155%1.67X24%3.60222%4.00 1.8–1.0xG 1XShonan Bellmare or draw 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Vegalta Sendai1 Blaublitz Akita3 153%1.95X27%3.10220%3.50 1.5–0.8xG 1XVegalta Sendai or draw 80%@1.25 ✗
– Jubilo Iwata1 Iwaki1 Pens 2–4 136%2.70X27%3.10237%2.30 1.2–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.80 ✓
FT FC Gifu0 Consadole Sapporo3 136%2.15X26%3.20238%2.90 1.2–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.73 ✗
FT Tokushima Vortis0 Ehime FC6 148%1.67X28%3.30224%4.50 1.3–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.91 ✗
– Kochi United0 Osaka0 Pens 4–2 138%2.60X28%3.00234%2.45 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.80 ✗
FT Gainare Tottori4 Renofa Yamaguchi1 126%4.33X24%3.30250%1.70 1.3–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.