Double chanceMontedio Yamagata or draw ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montedio Yamagata welcome Thespakusatsu Gunma to ND Soft Stadium Yamagata for a J2 League fixture on Wednesday 6 May (06:00 WAT).
Current form
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Blaublitz Akita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vanraure Hachinohe, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.6 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 50%, draw 27%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 23%.
Lower-risk option: Montedio Yamagata or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montedio Yamagata50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.45
Thespakusatsu Gunma23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
2.72Expected goals
1.58Montedio Yamagata xG
1.14Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.6 – 1.1 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montedio Yamagata
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Attack vs J2 League average
-27%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+39%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.21
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montedio Yamagata to win✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
Montedio Yamagata or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Thespakusatsu Gunma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Montedio Yamagata to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Montedio Yamagata – last 6
LLWWWL
29 Apr
@ Blaublitz Akita
0–2
L
25 Apr
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Yokohama FC
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Tochigi City
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
WLWWLL
3 May
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs Yokohama FC
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ Shonan Bellmare
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Tochigi SC
1–5
L
28 Mar
vs Tochigi SC
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 23%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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