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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albirex Niigata v Tokushima Vortis: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata

WLWWL
1–0
FT

Tokushima Vortis

LLWWW
Albirex Niigata 37%Draw 27%Tokushima Vortis 37% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.20
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗37% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.14

Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 6 May the J2 League brings Albirex Niigata against Tokushima Vortis at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Albirex Niigata are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Tokushima Vortis are 15th (lower half) with 17. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Albirex Niigata, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kamatamare Sanuki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tokushima Vortis, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Ehime FC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tokushima Vortis, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Albirex Niigata.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Tokushima Vortis 4–0 Albirex Niigata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albirex Niigata 1.3 xG, Tokushima Vortis 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albirex Niigata 37%, draw 27%, Tokushima Vortis 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albirex Niigata37%fair 2.74 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
Tokushima Vortis37%fair 2.73 · @2.33
2.54Expected goals
1.34Albirex Niigata xG
1.20Tokushima Vortis xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.3 – 1.2 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Albirex NiigataTokushima Vortis
Attack vs J2 League average+12%-19%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-15%
Our expected goals here1.331.01

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTokushima Vortis to win ✗37%2.732.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.83
Draw no betTokushima Vortis (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapTokushima Vortis +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreAlbirex Niigata to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albirex Niigata / FT Albirex Niigata ✓23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.14–

Recent results

Albirex Niigata – last 6

WLWWLL
3 Mayvs Kamatamare Sanuki2–1W
29 Apr@ Kataller Toyama0–2L
25 Aprvs Osaka1–0W
18 Aprvs Imabari1–0W
12 Apr@ Kochi United1–2L
20 Marvs Kataller Toyama2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

LLWWWW
2 Mayvs Ehime FC0–6L
26 Apr@ Kochi United1–2L
18 Aprvs Kanazawa2–1W
12 Apr@ Kamatamare Sanuki5–0W
5 Aprvs Osaka1–0W
29 Marvs Kochi United3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Tokushima Vortis v Albirex Niigata4–0
Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Tochigi City2 Yokohama FC2 Pens 4–5 126%3.10X22%3.40252%2.05 1.3–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai2 Tochigi SC1 159%1.75X24%3.60217%4.00 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata1 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 150%1.80X27%3.45223%3.90 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu1 Jubilo Iwata2 131%2.62X28%3.00242%2.62 0.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija3 Iwaki2 142%2.38X24%3.35234%2.65 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo2 Parceiro Nagano0 163%1.53X22%3.95215%5.10 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
– Fujieda MYFC1 Fukushima United1 Pens 3–4 153%1.80X22%3.70225%3.60 1.8–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.48 ✓
FT Nara Club1 Osaka3 130%3.50X26%3.30244%1.95 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?

On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tokushima Vortis 37%.

How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?

Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.