Thespakusatsu Gunma 42%Draw 23%Tochigi City 35%Expected goals 1.87 – 1.57
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Thespakusatsu Gunma to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultThespakusatsu Gunma to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thespakusatsu Gunma welcome Tochigi City to Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 9 May (06:00 WAT).
Current form
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Montedio Yamagata, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Tochigi City, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shonan Bellmare, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Thespakusatsu Gunma, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tochigi City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.9 xG, Tochigi City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thespakusatsu Gunma 42%, draw 23%, Tochigi City 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Thespakusatsu Gunma to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thespakusatsu Gunma42%fair 2.38 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Tochigi City35%fair 2.84 · @2.25
3.44Expected goals
1.87Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
1.57Tochigi City xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.9 – 1.6 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi City
Attack vs J2 League average
+17%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+39%
+37%
Our expected goals here
2.24
1.69
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thespakusatsu Gunma to win✗
42%
2.38
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Thespakusatsu Gunma (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Thespakusatsu Gunma to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thespakusatsu Gunma / FT Thespakusatsu Gunma✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
WWLWWL
6 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
3 May
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs Yokohama FC
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ Shonan Bellmare
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Tochigi SC
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
WLWLLW
2 May
@ Shonan Bellmare
2–1
W
29 Apr
@ Sagamihara
0–1
L
25 Apr
vs Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–5
L
12 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tochigi City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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