Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIwaki to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the J2 League brings Iwaki against Ventforet Kofu at Iwaki Greenfield. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Iwaki are 8th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Ventforet Kofu are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Iwaki, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Omiya Ardija, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ventforet Kofu, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Jubilo Iwata, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ventforet Kofu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Iwaki.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Iwaki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iwaki 1.8 xG, Ventforet Kofu 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iwaki 58%, draw 23%, Ventforet Kofu 18%.
Lower-risk option: Iwaki or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Iwaki to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iwaki 1–0 Ventforet Kofu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iwaki58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.20
Ventforet Kofu18%fair 5.46 · @3.95
2.58Expected goals
1.77Iwaki xG
0.81Ventforet Kofu xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.8 – 0.8 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Iwaki
Ventforet Kofu
Attack vs J2 League average
+19%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.03
0.84
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ventforet Kofu 18%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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