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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montedio Yamagata v Sagamihara: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

LLLWW
2–3
FT

Sagamihara

WWWLL
Montedio Yamagata 38%Draw 26%Sagamihara 36% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.31
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.23

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the J2 League brings Montedio Yamagata against Sagamihara at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sagamihara, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blaublitz Akita, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Sagamihara 2–1 Montedio Yamagata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.3 xG, Sagamihara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 38%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Sagamihara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montedio Yamagata38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Sagamihara36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
2.62Expected goals
1.31Montedio Yamagata xG
1.31Sagamihara xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.3 – 1.3 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Montedio YamagataSagamihara
Attack vs J2 League average-27%+19%
Goals conceded vs average-13%+16%
Our expected goals here1.181.23

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗38%2.662.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.73
Draw no betMontedio Yamagata (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapMontedio Yamagata +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
First team to scoreSagamihara to score first46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.23–

Recent results

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LLLWWW
6 Mayvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–2L
29 Apr@ Blaublitz Akita0–2L
25 Apr@ Vegalta Sendai0–1L
19 Aprvs Vanraure Hachinohe1–0W
12 Aprvs Yokohama FC1–0W
5 Apr@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sagamihara – last 6

WWWLLL
6 May@ Blaublitz Akita1–0W
29 Aprvs Tochigi City1–0W
19 Apr@ Tochigi SC2–0W
12 Aprvs Vegalta Sendai0–3L
21 Marvs Yokohama FC2–4L
14 Mar@ Vegalta Sendai1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Sagamihara v Montedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Kanazawa1 Albirex Niigata1 Pens 2–2 134%2.65X26%3.10240%2.50 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Shonan Bellmare0 Yokohama FC1 134%2.45X26%3.20239%2.50 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✗
– Vanraure Hachinohe1 Vegalta Sendai1 Pens 4–4 122%3.20X25%3.10253%2.05 0.8–1.6xG X2Vegalta Sendai or draw 78%@1.30 ✓
– Tochigi SC0 Blaublitz Akita0 Pens 4–3 132%2.70X28%3.00240%2.40 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✗
FT Fukushima United4 Jubilo Iwata2 128%3.55X24%3.55249%1.85 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
– Matsumoto Yamaga0 Fujieda MYFC0 Pens 1–3 144%2.00X26%3.20229%3.20 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.80 ✗
FT Tokushima Vortis1 Nara Club2 155%1.45X25%3.90220%6.40 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Kamatamare Sanuki0 Kochi United3 131%2.95X27%3.10242%2.30 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sagamihara 36%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.