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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v Fujieda MYFC: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin
0–0
–Pens 1–3
Matsumoto Yamaga 44%Draw 26%Fujieda MYFC 29% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.11
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga welcome Fujieda MYFC to Sunpro Alwin for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 10 May (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Gifu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Fujieda MYFC, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fujieda MYFC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Fujieda MYFC 2–0 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 xG, Fujieda MYFC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 44%, draw 26%, Fujieda MYFC 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fujieda MYFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Fujieda MYFC29%fair 3.42 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.49Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.11Fujieda MYFC xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 1.1 Fujieda MYFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Matsumoto YamagaFujieda MYFC
Attack vs J2 League average+5%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-11%-7%
Our expected goals here1.360.96

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗44%2.252.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.80
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapFujieda MYFC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

WLLLWW
6 May@ FC Gifu3–0W
3 Mayvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
26 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–1L
18 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
12 Aprvs Omiya Ardija4–1W
29 Mar@ Fukushima United3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fujieda MYFC – last 6

LWWLWW
29 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
18 Apr@ Ventforet Kofu1–0W
11 Apr@ FC Gifu2–1W
4 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–2L
14 Mar@ Omiya Ardija2–1W
1 Mar@ Iwaki2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Fujieda MYFC v Matsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fujieda MYFC 29%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fujieda MYFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.