Albion FC 43%Draw 27%Cerro 30%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.02
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win ✓43% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Albion FC vs Cerro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albion FC welcome Cerro to Estadio Luis Franzini for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Monday 16 February (23:00 WAT). In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Cerro are 9th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.4 xG, Cerro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 43%, draw 27%, Cerro 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–1 Cerro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albion FC43%fair 2.34 · @2.18
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Cerro30%fair 3.31 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.36Albion FC xG
1.02Cerro xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.4 – 1.0 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albion FC
Cerro
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+10%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.13
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✓
43%
2.34
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Albion FC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Cerro +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Albion FC to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Albion FC
No recent results on record.
Cerro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Cerro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Albion FC vs Cerro?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerro 30%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Cerro?
Albion FC vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
