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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guarany de Bagé v Inter Santa Maria: numbers & prediction

Gaúcho 1 · Brazil
Guarany de Bagé 40%Draw 26%Inter Santa Maria 35% Expected goals 0.96 – 0.87
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuarany de Bagé to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.50

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Inter Santa Maria travel to face Guarany de Bagé on Monday 16 February in the Gaúcho 1 – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guarany de Bagé 1.0 xG, Inter Santa Maria 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guarany de Bagé 40%, draw 26%, Inter Santa Maria 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guarany de Bagé 0–0 Inter Santa Maria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guarany de Bagé40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Inter Santa Maria35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
1.83Expected goals
0.96Guarany de Bagé xG
0.87Inter Santa Maria xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Guarany de Bagé 1.0 – 0.9 Inter Santa Maria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuarany de Bagé to win ✓40%2.532.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.891.57
Draw no betGuarany de Bagé (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapInter Santa Maria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.441.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
First team to scoreGuarany de Bagé to score first44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.50–

Recent results

Guarany de Bagé

No recent results on record.

Inter Santa Maria

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guarany de Bagé and Inter Santa Maria.

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria head-to-head page →

More Gaúcho 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

On our numbers Guarany de Bagé have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Inter Santa Maria 35%.

How many goals will there be in Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

Our predicted score is Guarany de Bagé 0–0 Inter Santa Maria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.