Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonsoon to win ✗42% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.74
Monsoon vs Avenida: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the Gaúcho 1 brings Monsoon against Avenida at Francisco Novelletto Neto. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monsoon 1.2 xG, Avenida 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monsoon 42%, draw 26%, Avenida 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monsoon 1–1 Avenida. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monsoon42%fair 2.40 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.70
Avenida32%fair 3.11 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.18Monsoon xG
0.99Avenida xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Monsoon 1.2 – 1.0 Avenida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monsoon to win✗
42%
2.40
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Monsoon (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Avenida +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Monsoon to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monsoon / FT Monsoon✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Monsoon
No recent results on record.
Avenida
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monsoon and Avenida.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Monsoon vs Avenida?
On our numbers Monsoon have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Avenida 32%.
How many goals will there be in Monsoon vs Avenida?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monsoon vs Avenida?
Our predicted score is Monsoon 1–1 Avenida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Monsoon vs Avenida?
Monsoon vs Avenida (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
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