Sao Jose 46%Draw 23%Novo Hamburgo 31%Expected goals 1.20 – 0.92
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultSao Jose to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novo Hamburgo travel to face Sao Jose on Monday 23 February in the Gaúcho 1, with Francisco Novelletto Neto the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Novo Hamburgo 3–2 Sao Jose.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 1.2 xG, Novo Hamburgo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 46%, draw 23%, Novo Hamburgo 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 1–1 Novo Hamburgo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Jose46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Novo Hamburgo31%fair 3.19 · @3.35
2.12Expected goals
1.20Sao Jose xG
0.92Novo Hamburgo xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.2 – 0.9 Novo Hamburgo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novo Hamburgo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–1 Novo Hamburgo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
Monsoon1
Avenida1