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Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · Willoughby Community Park
2–1
FT
Vancouver FC 62%Draw 22%HFX Wanderers FC 17% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.97
83%
Betarazi pick

Vancouver FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Vancouver FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVancouver FC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceVancouver FC or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League, played at Willoughby Community Park. In the table, Vancouver FC are 5th, lower half, on 37 points after 28 matches; HFX Wanderers FC are 7th (in the drop zone) with 28.

Current form

Vancouver FC, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Supra du Quebec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

HFX Wanderers FC, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cavalry FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended HFX Wanderers FC 1–0 Vancouver FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Vancouver FC 0 wins, HFX Wanderers FC 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vancouver FC 2.0 xG, HFX Wanderers FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vancouver FC 62%, draw 22%, HFX Wanderers FC 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vancouver FC or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Vancouver FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vancouver FC or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vancouver FC 2–0 HFX Wanderers FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vancouver FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
HFX Wanderers FC17%fair 5.94 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
2.03Vancouver FC xG
0.97HFX Wanderers FC xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Vancouver FC 2.0 – 1.0 HFX Wanderers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVancouver FC to win ✓62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceVancouver FC or draw ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betVancouver FC (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapVancouver FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreVancouver FC to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultVancouver FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vancouver FC / FT Vancouver FC ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.05–

Recent results

Vancouver FC – last 6

DDDDLW
10 Oct@ Supra du Quebec2–2D
27 Sepvs Forge1–1D
24 Sepvs York United3–3D
20 Sep@ Pacific FC1–1D
13 Sep@ York United1–3L
6 Sepvs Supra du Quebec3–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

HFX Wanderers FC – last 6

DDLWWL
12 Octvs Cavalry FC2–2D
3 Oct@ Forge3–3D
26 Sepvs Atlético Ottawa0–1L
20 Sepvs York United4–1W
12 Sep@ Supra du Quebec2–0W
7 Sepvs Cavalry FC1–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026HFX Wanderers FC v Vancouver FC1–0
30 May 2026HFX Wanderers FC v Vancouver FC1–0
5 Apr 2026Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC0–1
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

More Canadian Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?

Our pick is Vancouver FC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?

On our numbers Vancouver FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HFX Wanderers FC 17%.

How many goals will there be in Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?

Our predicted score is Vancouver FC 2–0 HFX Wanderers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Willoughby Community Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.