Atlético Ottawa 17%Draw 20%Forge 64%Expected goals 0.87 – 1.96
83%
Betarazi pick
Forge or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultForge to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceForge or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Ottawa welcome Forge to TD Place Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Saturday 17 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; Forge are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pacific FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Forge, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over York United, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Forge 3–0 Atlético Ottawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlético Ottawa 1 win, Forge 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 0.9 xG, Forge 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 17%, draw 20%, Forge 64%.
Lower-risk option: Forge or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Forge to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Forge or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Forge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Ottawa17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Forge64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.83Expected goals
0.87Atlético Ottawa xG
1.96Forge xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 0.9 – 2.0 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Our pick is Forge or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Forge 64%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.