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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Ottawa v Forge: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · TD Place Stadium
1–2
FT

Forge

WWDDD
Atlético Ottawa 17%Draw 20%Forge 64% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.96
83%
Betarazi pick

Forge or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultForge to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceForge or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Ottawa welcome Forge to TD Place Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Saturday 17 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; Forge are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlético Ottawa, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pacific FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Forge, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over York United, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Forge 3–0 Atlético Ottawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlético Ottawa 1 win, Forge 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 0.9 xG, Forge 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 17%, draw 20%, Forge 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Forge or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Forge to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Forge or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Forge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Ottawa17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Forge64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.83Expected goals
0.87Atlético Ottawa xG
1.96Forge xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 0.9 – 2.0 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultForge to win ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Double chanceForge or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.55
Draw no betForge (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapForge -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreForge to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultForge ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Forge / FT Forge ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.14–

Recent results

Atlético Ottawa – last 6

WWWLLD
12 Oct@ Pacific FC2–0W
1 Octvs Cavalry FC3–2W
26 Sep@ HFX Wanderers FC1–0W
20 Sepvs Supra du Quebec0–2L
13 Sep@ Forge0–3L
5 Sepvs Pacific FC0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Forge – last 6

WWDDDW
12 Octvs York United5–0W
8 Octvs Pacific FC3–0W
3 Octvs HFX Wanderers FC3–3D
27 Sep@ Vancouver FC1–1D
19 Sep@ Cavalry FC1–1D
16 Sepvs Supra du Quebec1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Forge v Atlético Ottawa3–0
24 May 2026Atlético Ottawa v Forge2–1
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

More Canadian Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

Our pick is Forge or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Forge 64%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.