HFX Wanderers FC 15%Draw 22%Supra du Quebec 63%Expected goals 1.04 – 2.24
85%
Betarazi pick
Supra du Quebec or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Supra du Quebec to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSupra du Quebec to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceSupra du Quebec or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: HFX Wanderers FC v Supra du Quebec in the Canadian Premier League, played at Wanderers Grounds. In the table, HFX Wanderers FC are 7th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 28 matches; Supra du Quebec are 4th (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
HFX Wanderers FC, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vancouver FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Supra du Quebec, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over York United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Supra du Quebec, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for HFX Wanderers FC.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Supra du Quebec 0–2 HFX Wanderers FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: HFX Wanderers FC 1 win, Supra du Quebec 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HFX Wanderers FC 1.0 xG, Supra du Quebec 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HFX Wanderers FC 15%, draw 22%, Supra du Quebec 63%.
Lower-risk option: Supra du Quebec or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Supra du Quebec to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Supra du Quebec or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HFX Wanderers FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HFX Wanderers FC15%fair 6.71 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.50
Supra du Quebec63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
3.28Expected goals
1.04HFX Wanderers FC xG
2.24Supra du Quebec xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: HFX Wanderers FC 1.0 – 2.2 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Supra du Quebec or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers HFX Wanderers FC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Supra du Quebec 63%.
How many goals will there be in HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is HFX Wanderers FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Wanderers Grounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
