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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

York United v Atlético Ottawa: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · York Lions Stadium
2–1
FT
York United 24%Draw 17%Atlético Ottawa 59% Expected goals 1.30 – 2.18
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: Atlético Ottawa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Ottawa to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.29
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

York United vs Atlético Ottawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Canadian Premier League brings York United against Atlético Ottawa at York Lions Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, York United are 6th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 28 matches; Atlético Ottawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

York United, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Supra du Quebec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Atlético Ottawa, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Forge, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlético Ottawa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for York United.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United. The last 3 head-to-heads: York United 1 win, Atlético Ottawa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give York United 1.3 xG, Atlético Ottawa 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – York United 24%, draw 17%, Atlético Ottawa 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.29.
  • Price worth noting: Atlético Ottawa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: York United 1–2 Atlético Ottawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

York United24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @3.70
Atlético Ottawa59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
3.48Expected goals
1.30York United xG
2.18Atlético Ottawa xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: York United 1.3 – 2.2 Atlético Ottawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Ottawa to win ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.29
Draw no betAtlético Ottawa (draw no bet) ✗71%1.40–
Asian handicapYork United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreAtlético Ottawa to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultAtlético Ottawa ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Ottawa / FT Atlético Ottawa ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

York United – last 6

LLLWLD
17 Oct@ Supra du Quebec0–3L
12 Oct@ Forge0–5L
7 Octvs Supra du Quebec1–2L
3 Octvs Cavalry FC3–1W
27 Sepvs Pacific FC3–4L
24 Sep@ Vancouver FC3–3D
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Atlético Ottawa – last 6

LWWWLL
17 Octvs Forge1–2L
12 Oct@ Pacific FC2–0W
1 Octvs Cavalry FC3–2W
26 Sep@ HFX Wanderers FC1–0W
20 Sepvs Supra du Quebec0–2L
13 Sep@ Forge0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Atlético Ottawa v York United2–1
18 Jul 2026Atlético Ottawa v York United1–1
2 May 2026York United v Atlético Ottawa4–1
York United vs Atlético Ottawa head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

More Canadian Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for York United vs Atlético Ottawa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win York United vs Atlético Ottawa?

On our numbers York United have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Ottawa 59%.

How many goals will there be in York United vs Atlético Ottawa?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for York United vs Atlético Ottawa?

Our predicted score is York United 1–2 Atlético Ottawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is York United vs Atlético Ottawa?

York United vs Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.