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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. George Saints v Manly United: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · St George Stadium
St. George Saints 42%Draw 25%Manly United 33% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.23
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Manly United to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSt. George Saints to win ✓42% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.34

St. George Saints vs Manly United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St. George Saints welcome Manly United to St George Stadium for a New South Wales NPL fixture on Saturday 7 March (08:30 WAT).

Current form

St. George Saints, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UNSW, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Manly United, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sydney United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours St. George Saints, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Manly United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. George Saints 1.1 xG, Manly United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. George Saints 42%, draw 25%, Manly United 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Manly United to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. George Saints 1–1 Manly United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. George Saints42%fair 2.38 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Manly United33%fair 3.06 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.15St. George Saints xG
1.23Manly United xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: St. George Saints 1.1 – 1.2 Manly United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. George Saints to win ✓42%2.381.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.70
Draw no betSt. George Saints (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapSt. George Saints +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreManly United to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manly United / FT Manly United ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.34–

Recent results

St. George Saints – last 3

WWD
28 Febvs UNSW2–0W
21 Feb@ Sutherland Sharks1–0W
14 Feb@ St George City FA0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Manly United – last 3

LDD
27 Feb@ Sydney United0–2L
20 Febvs APIA Leichhardt Tigers2–2D
14 Feb@ Blacktown City0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St. George Saints and Manly United.

St. George Saints vs Manly United head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. George Saints vs Manly United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win St. George Saints vs Manly United?

On our numbers St. George Saints have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manly United 33%.

How many goals will there be in St. George Saints vs Manly United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. George Saints vs Manly United?

Our predicted score is St. George Saints 1–1 Manly United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is St. George Saints vs Manly United?

St. George Saints vs Manly United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at St George Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.