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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

APIA Leichhardt Tigers v Blacktown City: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · Lambert Park

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

WDW
3–2
FT

Blacktown City

LLD
APIA Leichhardt Tigers 65%Draw 20%Blacktown City 15% Expected goals 2.33 – 1.05
65%
Betarazi pick

APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 March the New South Wales NPL brings APIA Leichhardt Tigers against Blacktown City at Lambert Park. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT.

Current form

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wollongong Wolves, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Blacktown City, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sutherland Sharks, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Blacktown City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.3 xG, Blacktown City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – APIA Leichhardt Tigers 65%, draw 20%, Blacktown City 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Blacktown City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

APIA Leichhardt Tigers65%fair 1.53 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.20
Blacktown City15%fair 6.76 · @5.25
3.38Expected goals
2.33APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
1.05Blacktown City xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.3 – 1.0 Blacktown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓65%1.531.48
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓85%1.171.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.53
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapAPIA Leichhardt Tigers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 3

WDW
28 Febvs Wollongong Wolves2–0W
20 Feb@ Manly United2–2D
14 Febvs NWS Spirit3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Blacktown City – last 3

LLD
1 Marvs Sutherland Sharks2–3L
21 Feb@ Rockdale City Suns2–3L
14 Febvs Manly United0–0D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Blacktown City.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

FT SD Raiders0 Sydney United1 123%3.85X25%3.80252%1.73 1.2–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.62 ✓
FT NWS Spirit2 St George City FA0 142%2.40X25%3.35233%2.55 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓
FT UNSW2 Marconi Stallions2 121%6.00X23%4.20256%1.44 1.1–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗
FT St. George Saints1 Manly United0 142%1.91X25%3.40233%3.50 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Rockdale City Suns4 Sydney Olympic1 160%1.60X21%4.10219%4.40 2.3–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

Our pick is APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Blacktown City 15%.

How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Blacktown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.