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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SD Raiders v APIA Leichhardt Tigers: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · Ernie Smith Reserve
SD Raiders 20%Draw 22%APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.99
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓58% · @1.53
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

APIA Leichhardt Tigers travel to face SD Raiders on Saturday 2 May in the New South Wales NPL, with Ernie Smith Reserve the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT.

Current form

SD Raiders, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Western Sydney Wanderers U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over St. George Saints, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for SD Raiders.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SD Raiders 1.3 xG, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SD Raiders 20%, draw 22%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: SD Raiders 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SD Raiders20%fair 5.00 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
APIA Leichhardt Tigers58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
3.24Expected goals
1.25SD Raiders xG
1.99APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: SD Raiders 1.3 – 2.0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓58%1.731.53
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapSD Raiders +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

SD Raiders – last 6

WWLDWW
26 Apr@ Western Sydney Wanderers U232–1W
18 Aprvs St. George Saints1–0W
11 Apr@ Marconi Stallions1–6L
4 Aprvs Wollongong Wolves1–1D
29 Mar@ Blacktown City2–1W
21 Marvs Manly United3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

WWDWWW
26 Aprvs St. George Saints2–1W
19 Aprvs Sydney Olympic4–1W
11 Apr@ UNSW1–1D
3 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers U234–1W
27 Mar@ Sydney FC U232–0W
21 Marvs Sutherland Sharks2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SD Raiders and APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers SD Raiders have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58%.

How many goals will there be in SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is SD Raiders 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Ernie Smith Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.