UNSW 40%Draw 24%Blacktown City 36%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.44
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultUNSW to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
UNSW vs Blacktown City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UNSW welcome Blacktown City to The Village Green for a New South Wales NPL fixture on Saturday 2 May (05:00 WAT).
Current form
UNSW, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sydney Olympic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Blacktown City, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over NWS Spirit, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours UNSW, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Blacktown City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UNSW 1.5 xG, Blacktown City 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UNSW 40%, draw 24%, Blacktown City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNSW 1–1 Blacktown City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UNSW40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
Blacktown City36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
2.97Expected goals
1.53UNSW xG
1.44Blacktown City xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: UNSW 1.5 – 1.4 Blacktown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UNSW to win✗
40%
2.51
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.45
Draw no bet
UNSW (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Blacktown City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
UNSW to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UNSW / FT UNSW✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
UNSW – last 6
LWDLWW
25 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs St George City FA
5–0
W
20 Mar
@ Sydney FC U23
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blacktown City – last 6
WDLDLL
26 Apr
vs NWS Spirit
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Sydney FC U23
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs Wollongong Wolves
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ St George City FA
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs SD Raiders
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Sydney United
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNSW and Blacktown City.
What is the prediction for UNSW vs Blacktown City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win UNSW vs Blacktown City?
On our numbers UNSW have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Blacktown City 36%.
How many goals will there be in UNSW vs Blacktown City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNSW vs Blacktown City?
Our predicted score is UNSW 1–1 Blacktown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is UNSW vs Blacktown City?
UNSW vs Blacktown City (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · The Village Green
Sutherland Sharks2
Marconi Stallions4
SD Raiders2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers3
NWS Spirit2
Manly United1
St. George Saints0
Western Sydney Wanderers U234
St George City FA0
Sydney FC U235