Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Erbil to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultErbil to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Erbil vs Zakho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zakho travel to face Erbil on Saturday 14 February in the Iraqi League, with Franso Hariri Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Erbil are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Zakho are 15th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erbil 1.6 xG, Zakho 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erbil 45%, draw 27%, Zakho 28%.
Price worth noting: Erbil to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erbil 1–1 Zakho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erbil45%fair 2.23 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.70
Zakho28%fair 3.52 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.59Erbil xG
0.99Zakho xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Erbil 1.6 – 1.0 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✗
45%
2.23
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Erbil (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Zakho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Erbil to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.28
–
Recent results
Erbil
No recent results on record.
Zakho
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erbil and Zakho.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Erbil vs Zakho?
On our numbers Erbil have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Zakho 28%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Zakho?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Erbil 1–1 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Zakho?
Erbil vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Qasim1
Al Najaf