Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.06
Diyala vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Iraqi League brings Diyala against Al-Karma. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Diyala are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Diyala 0.9 xG, Al-Karma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Diyala 27%, draw 30%, Al-Karma 44%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Karma or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diyala 0–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Diyala27%fair 3.72 · @3.80
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.62
Al-Karma44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
2.17Expected goals
0.93Diyala xG
1.24Al-Karma xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Diyala 0.9 – 1.2 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Al-Karma or draw
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.53
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Diyala +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.06
–
Recent results
Diyala
No recent results on record.
Al-Karma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Al-Karma or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Diyala vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Diyala have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Al-Karma 44%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Diyala 0–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al-Karma?
Diyala vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Qasim1
Al Najaf