Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Migori Youth to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMombasa Elite to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Migori Youth travel to face Mombasa Elite on Sunday 3 May in the Super League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Mombasa Elite, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Soy United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Migori Youth, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nzoia Sugar, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mombasa Elite 1.1 xG, Migori Youth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mombasa Elite 39%, draw 27%, Migori Youth 34%.
Price worth noting: Migori Youth to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mombasa Elite 1–1 Migori Youth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mombasa Elite39%fair 2.55 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Migori Youth34%fair 2.98 · @3.50
2.22Expected goals
1.08Mombasa Elite xG
1.14Migori Youth xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 1.1 – 1.1 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mombasa Elite to win✗
39%
2.55
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Mombasa Elite (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Mombasa Elite +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Migori Youth to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Recent results
Mombasa Elite – last 6
WLWWWW
19 Apr
vs Soy United
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Kibera Black Stars
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Vihiga United FC
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs MCF
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Kabati Youth FC
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs MOFA
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
WWWLWW
26 Apr
vs Nzoia Sugar
4–0
W
12 Apr
vs Naivas
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Luanda Villa
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Mwatate United
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Talanta
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Soy United
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Migori Youth 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 1–1 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luanda Villa1
Darajani Gogo0