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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luanda Villa v Darajani Gogo: numbers & prediction

Super League · Kenya
1–0
FT
Luanda Villa 49%Draw 27%Darajani Gogo 24% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.94
76%
Betarazi pick

Luanda Villa or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuanda Villa to win ✓49% · @1.91
Double chanceLuanda Villa or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.20

Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Luanda Villa v Darajani Gogo in the Super League.

Current form

Luanda Villa, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kisumu All Stars, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Darajani Gogo, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nzoia Sugar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Luanda Villa, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Darajani Gogo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luanda Villa 1.3 xG, Darajani Gogo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luanda Villa 49%, draw 27%, Darajani Gogo 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Luanda Villa or draw (76%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Luanda Villa or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luanda Villa 1–0 Darajani Gogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luanda Villa49%fair 2.05 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
Darajani Gogo24%fair 4.20 · @3.70
2.23Expected goals
1.29Luanda Villa xG
0.94Darajani Gogo xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Luanda Villa 1.3 – 0.9 Darajani Gogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuanda Villa to win ✓49%2.051.91
Double chanceLuanda Villa or draw ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betLuanda Villa (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapDarajani Gogo +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLuanda Villa to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luanda Villa / FT Luanda Villa ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%7.20–

Recent results

Luanda Villa – last 6

WLDLLL
26 Apr@ Kisumu All Stars2–0W
19 Aprvs Kibera Black Stars0–1L
10 Apr@ MOFA1–1D
5 Aprvs Migori Youth0–3L
28 Feb@ Naivas0–3L
22 Febvs Talanta0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Darajani Gogo – last 6

LLDLLL
19 Apr@ Nzoia Sugar0–2L
5 Apr@ Fortune Sacco0–4L
21 Marvs 3K1–1D
14 Mar@ Talanta0–1L
7 Marvs Kibera Black Stars0–1L
1 Mar@ Migori Youth1–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Luanda Villa and Darajani Gogo.

Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?

Our pick is Luanda Villa or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?

On our numbers Luanda Villa have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Darajani Gogo 24%.

How many goals will there be in Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?

Our predicted score is Luanda Villa 1–0 Darajani Gogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?

Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.