Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFajr Sepasi to win ✓43% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.41
Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Fajr Sepasi against Shams Azar Qazvin. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Fajr Sepasi are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fajr Sepasi 1.2 xG, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fajr Sepasi 43%, draw 28%, Shams Azar Qazvin 29%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fajr Sepasi 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fajr Sepasi43%fair 2.34 · @2.37
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.85
Shams Azar Qazvin29%fair 3.44 · @3.10
2.10Expected goals
1.23Fajr Sepasi xG
0.87Shams Azar Qazvin xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fajr Sepasi 1.2 – 0.9 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fajr Sepasi to win✓
43%
2.34
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.39
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Fajr Sepasi (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Shams Azar Qazvin +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.02
First team to score
Fajr Sepasi to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fajr Sepasi / FT Fajr Sepasi✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
Fajr Sepasi – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Aluminium Arak
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fajr Sepasi and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Fajr Sepasi have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Shams Azar Qazvin 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Fajr Sepasi 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
