Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Aluminium Arak against Paykan at Imam Khomeini. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Aluminium Arak are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Paykan are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminium Arak 1.0 xG, Paykan 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminium Arak 40%, draw 30%, Paykan 30%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminium Arak 1–0 Paykan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminium Arak40%fair 2.49 · @2.55
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
Paykan30%fair 3.33 · @2.85
1.88Expected goals
1.05Aluminium Arak xG
0.83Paykan xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.0 – 0.8 Paykan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminium Arak to win✗
40%
2.49
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.39
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.55
Draw no bet
Aluminium Arak (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Paykan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
1.02
First team to score
Aluminium Arak to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.26
–
Recent results
Aluminium Arak – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Paykan – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Paykan.
What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Paykan 30%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 Paykan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
