Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.42
Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones del Norte travel to face Deportivo Cuenca on Saturday 14 March in the Liga Pro, with Alejandro Serrano Aguilar the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aucas, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 xG, Leones del Norte 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 51%, draw 28%, Leones del Norte 21%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca51%fair 1.94 · @1.65
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
Leones del Norte21%fair 4.81 · @5.00
1.92Expected goals
1.15Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.78Leones del Norte xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 0.8 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✗
51%
1.94
1.65
Double chance
Deportivo Cuenca or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cuenca (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Leones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Deportivo Cuenca to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.42
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cuenca – last 5
WWWLW
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Macara
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Leones del Norte 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
