LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga Pro brings LDU de Quito against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Libertad, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.4 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 51%, draw 26%, Universidad Catolica 23%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was LDU de Quito or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito51%fair 1.97 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica23%fair 4.33 · @4.00
2.33Expected goals
1.37LDU de Quito xG
0.97Universidad Catolica xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.4 – 1.0 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Universidad Catolica +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
LDU de Quito – last 3
LLW
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is LDU de Quito or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universidad Catolica 23%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
