Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Mushuc Runa SC v Macara in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tecnico Universitario, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 0.9 xG, Macara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 31%, draw 27%, Macara 42%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 0–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC31%fair 3.25 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.80
Macara42%fair 2.37 · @2.90
2.23Expected goals
0.92Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.32Macara xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 0.9 – 1.3 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
42%
2.37
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Macara to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.09
–
Recent results
Mushuc Runa SC
No recent results on record.
Macara – last 5
DWWDL
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Macara.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 0–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
