Libertad vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Liga Pro brings Libertad against Barcelona SC at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Libertad, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tecnico Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Barcelona SC, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guayaquil City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Barcelona SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.2 xG, Barcelona SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 37%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–1 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad37%fair 2.68 · @2.78
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Barcelona SC35%fair 2.83 · @2.52
2.20Expected goals
1.16Libertad xG
1.04Barcelona SC xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.2 – 1.0 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad to win✗
37%
2.68
2.78
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Draw no bet
Libertad (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Barcelona SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.10
First team to score
Libertad to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad / FT Libertad✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.91
–
Recent results
Libertad – last 4
LWLW
13 Mar
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 5
DWDLL
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Libertad have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Barcelona SC?
Libertad vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
